Aave TVL down 18% after KelpDAO rsETH exploit sparks liquidity flight

Aave TVL drop accelerated after the KelpDAO exploit exposed weaknesses in the rsETH cross-chain bridge using LayerZero. Market trust in rsETH as “low-risk” collateral fell, driving Aave TVL down ~18% in 24 hours to about $17.8B. Traders rushed to withdraw. Seven-day losses for Aave-linked liquidity neared ~30%, while broader DeFi TVL declined only ~7.6% to about $85.8B, suggesting the shock is concentrated in Aave. Liquidity leaving Aave also pressured stablecoin depth and increased withdrawal pressure across pools. Exchange data shows heightened risk repricing. Binance net inflows of AAVE rose sharply versus the daily average, while CryptoQuant cited AAVE reserves rising above ~180k, implying more sell-side supply. AAVE price was pushed toward roughly $91–$92. For traders, this is a collateral-trust break. Expect continued volatility in Aave markets until rsETH collateral assumptions are rebuilt and withdrawal pressure eases. Spillover risk remains if rsETH credibility issues spread beyond Aave.
Bearish
This news is bearish for AAVE because the Aave TVL drop signals a direct loss of confidence in collateral used on Aave (rsETH). The rapid withdrawal pattern and weaker stablecoin depth indicate liquidity stress, which typically keeps borrowing demand cautious and can pressure AAVE via higher risk premia and reserve concerns. Even if Aave freezes rsETH markets, the market’s first response is capital flight and collateral re-rating, which can sustain downside volatility in the near term. In the longer term, AAVE sentiment depends on whether rsETH collateral assumptions are credibly rebuilt and whether deficit-cover mechanisms (and reserves/stakers) prevent further contagion. Until those uncertainties clear, spillover risk to other DeFi lending venues can prolong bearish price action for AAVE.