Aave TVL plunges $6.6B after Kelp hack; AAVE token drops 16%

Aave is facing a major credibility test after a Kelp bridge exploit triggered losses on Aave. Aave TVL fell about $6.6B (from ~$26.4B on Apr 18 to nearly $20B), and AAVE dropped 16% as liquidation cascades hit the protocol. Attackers stole 116,500 rsETH (~$292M) from Kelp’s bridge and deposited that rsETH as collateral on Aave V3. They then borrowed wrapped ether (WETH) against the collateral. While Aave’s own contracts were not compromised, trackers estimate Aave-specific bad debt of about $196M (with broader positions reported around $236M across Aave/Compound/Euler). The damage concentrates in Ethereum markets: Ethereum accounts for most of Aave’s borrows, and WETH is the dominant collateral-to-loan pair. Aave said its Umbrella reserve would cover the deficit at first, then shifted to “explore paths to offset the deficit,” raising concern about whether stkAAVE holders could absorb the shortfall. Traders will watch the Aave Umbrella coverage size, the health of the rsETH–WETH collateral pair, and contagion risk to other lending protocols that accepted liquid restaking tokens. This episode underscores how bridge risks and liquid restaking tokens can translate into real borrowing losses on Aave.
Bearish
Bearish. Aave 的 TVL 在短时间内大幅下滑,且 AAVE 代币重挫,反映市场正在对“桥风险 + 流动质押代币抵押”定价。即使 Aave 核心合约未被攻破,坏账与潜在补偿机制(Umbrella 储备、可能涉及 stkAAVE 持有人承担)会直接压制风险偏好。 短期看,清算与流动性外流可能继续拖累 Aave 及其相关 DeFi 借贷仓位;同时,rsETH–WETH 这一集中交易对若无法迅速恢复估值锚定与抵押可回收性,Aave 的风险溢价可能维持偏高。类似历史中“非核心合约被外部资产/桥事件冲击”的案例(例如某些跨协议抵押链路爆雷)往往会先引发本体代币下跌,再逐步扩散到同类借贷与抵押资产。 长期看,若 Aave 需要由储备或 stkAAVE 机制补足缺口,可能改变市场对 Aave 资本效率与风险承受能力的预期;并可能推动行业对 liquid restaking token(LRT)抵押白名单、桥接依赖与坏账吸收规则的再定价。总体上,这更像风险处置与监管式“再评估”窗口,而非立刻的利好兑现。