AERO Downtrend Persists: BOS Risk Below $0.2725, BTC Drives

Published: 2026-03-23 10:01:56 |

AERO is trading around $0.30 and remains in a clear bearish market structure with lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Earlier signs of a short-term bounce and a possible CHoCH did not change the higher-timeframe bias: price is below EMA20 (~$0.33) and Supertrend stays bearish. Momentum also remains weak, with RSI(14) near ~40 and MACD histogram negative. For AERO, the key catalyst is a structure break (BOS): - Bearish BOS: a daily close below $0.2725 would strengthen the LL sequence and open a downside objective near $0.1744. (Earlier levels highlighted downside escalation if key support near $0.3346 fails.) - Bullish BOS: a daily close above $0.3136 would invalidate the current LH setup and improve odds of an HH/HL reversal. Resistance is near ~$0.38, with a potential upside target around $0.4169 (and earlier resistance zones mentioned $0.3673 and $0.4544 if reversal gains traction). Short-term price action may consolidate near $0.30, but the trade bias stays bearish unless AERO reclaims resistance. A weekly (1W) profile with multiple resistance levels makes bullish BOS harder. BTC is the main risk factor for AERO. If BTC breaks down below nearby supports (around ~$68,152 per the latest view; earlier articles referenced weaker levels such as ~$66.25k/$62.97k), the probability of AERO’s $0.2725 breakdown rises. Conversely, BTC stabilization/recovery can support AERO toward bullish BOS levels.

Bearish

Both updates agree that AERO’s higher-timeframe structure is still bearish: EMA20 is above price, Supertrend remains bearish, and momentum is weak (RSI near neutral-bearish and MACD negative in the latest view). The earlier bounce/CHoCH attempt is treated as insufficient to flip the trend. Traders are therefore expected to focus on the same AERO structure-break levels. A daily close below $0.2725 would likely trigger downside continuation, while a bullish scenario only improves after AERO reclaims $0.3136 and then works through resistance near ~$0.38. Finally, BTC is highlighted as the main transmission channel. If BTC breaks down, it should increase sell pressure on AERO and accelerate the move toward the bearish BOS target region; BTC stabilization would be the main near-term tailwind for any reversal attempt.