AI Chatbots Predict Less Than 15% Chance of Bitcoin Crashing to $50K by End-2025

Four leading AI chatbots—ChatGPT, Grok, Perplexity and Google’s Gemini—were asked whether Bitcoin (BTC) could plunge to $50,000 before the end of 2025. ChatGPT estimated a 5–15% chance of such a drop, citing the need for a major negative catalyst like a recession or exchange collapse. Grok labeled a 47% further decline “extreme” but noted a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve as a bullish driver. Perplexity placed a crash scenario in the “lower-probability” category, forecasting BTC to trade above $85,000 and potentially surge to $190,000 under bullish conditions. Gemini warned of triggers such as a banking crisis or large-scale security exploit but said institutional adoption via spot BTC ETFs and digital-gold demand make a crash unlikely. Overall, the consensus points to stabilization or upside, with most forecasts favoring a trading range between $70,000 and $110,000 through 2025.