ARB bearish LH/LL: BOS $0.1015 vs $0.0985 breakdown

Published: 2026-03-21 15:06:57 |

ARB shows a bearish LH/LL market structure, trading near $0.1103. Supertrend stays bearish and price is still below the EMA20 around $0.10. RSI is roughly neutral, while MACD histogram is slightly positive, but analysts say it’s not strong enough to overturn the downtrend. ARB’s key trigger is BOS. A bullish shift needs a weekly close above $0.1015 to break the LH/LL sequence and open upside toward $0.1416. Bearish continuation is signaled by a daily close below $0.0985, targeting $0.0883 and potentially $0.0504. Support/resistance to watch: resistances at $0.1104, $0.1171, and $0.1426; supports at $0.1096, $0.1045, and $0.0883. The latest note flags weak BTC conditions as a risk factor for ARB—if BTC strength fades, ARB may revisit $0.0985; if risk-on returns and BTC breaks key levels, $0.1015 BOS could be triggered. (Technical analysis only; not investment advice.)

Bearish

Both articles converge on the same technical takeaway: ARB’s LH/LL structure and bearish Supertrend imply downside control. The latest update refines the timing and levels of the “decision” area using BOS triggers: a weekly close above $0.1015 would be the main bullish invalidation for the downtrend, while a daily close below $0.0985 would confirm bearish continuation. In the short term, traders are likely to treat $0.0985 and $0.1015 as a volatility “pivot.” A BTC softening would further increase the odds of ARB failing below $0.0985, making rallies harder to sustain. In the longer term, if ARB keeps rejecting around resistance (near $0.1104–$0.1171) and the BOS breakdown plays out, the path of least resistance stays downward toward $0.0883 and possibly $0.0504. MACD’s mild strength is acknowledged, but without a structural break on higher timeframes, it is not viewed as a reliable reversal signal.