Bernstein: Crypto stocks near Q1 earnings floor because of stablecoin push
Bernstein dey talk say di about 60% drop for crypto stocks from di October 2025 highs fit dey near one sentiment-driven bottom before Q1 earnings. Di firm talk say weak crypto sentiment and geopolitics don squeeze valuation multiples, so short-term results go soft, but di current levels fit be good entry point.
Dem still keep "Outperform" for Coinbase, Robinhood and Figure, but Bernstein cut price targets because dem expect short-term pressure and risk say Q1 earnings fit weak. Coinbase (COIN) cut to $330 from $440, Robinhood (HOOD) to $130 from $160, and Figure (FIGR) to $67 from $72.
Bernstein thesis still focus on stablecoins, tokenization and on-chain derivatives/prediction markets. For Coinbase, stablecoin-related income (including USDC-linked fees) dem call durable. For Robinhood, growth dey tied to prediction markets plus new revenue streams (margin lending, subscriptions, deposits). For Figure, tokenization na di clearest play, with consumer-loan marketplace volumes projected to rise.
Traders suppose note say di bigger backdrop still heavy: bitcoin don fall about 40%–50% from near $126,000 highs, and total digital-asset market value don drop by around $2 trillion. Net: crypto stocks fit dey near valuation floor, but earnings uncertainty into Q1 fit make volatility stay high.
Neutral
Bernstein dey frame the move as possible valuation floor for crypto stocks (neutral to small constructive), supported by stablecoin and tokenization exposure. But dem explicitly cut targets and warn say Q1 earnings still dey at risk because sentiment/valuation dey compress. That mix usually mean: short-term volatility go remain high into earnings, while medium-term upside depend on whether results confirm the tokenization/stablecoin narrative.
For traders, this no be direct catalyst for bullish breakout yet; na more like positioning/entry-window thesis. The broader market damage (BTC drawdown and falling total market cap) also limit immediate upside follow-through, keeping the near-term impact balanced.