Bitcoin breaks $81,000 as realized profits reach $207M
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged above $81,000, supported by a strong rise in realized profits to $207.56M, according to Santiment. Trading volume jumped 22% to about $45.67B and market cap hit $1.61T. The move suggests investors are booking gains as BTC pushes higher.
Key technical levels now drive trader focus. After holding above the 100-day moving average near $72,000, BTC reclaimed the rebound range, with $80,000 acting as resistance. Analysts flag the next hurdle at the 200-day moving average zone around $83,000–$85,000. If daily closes stay above $81,000, targets cited include $89,000 and $94,000; a failure could shift attention to $75,000 and $73,000 support.
On-chain signals add context. Bitcoin Miner Position Index (MPI) dipped below -1 near the $60,000 lows in February, historically linked to miner accumulation. While MPI has recovered, it remains below zero, implying eased miner sell pressure. Traders will watch for MPI to rise above 0.5 as price climbs, which could indicate miners selling more at higher levels.
With net realized profits setting a cycle record and BTC regaining key moving averages, the market reaction is increasingly favorable—but traders must monitor whether BTC can defend $81,000 on daily/weekly closes.
Bullish
这条消息整体偏多，原因在于“价格突破 + 利润指标走高 + 关键均线重新站稳”同时出现。BTC 突破并站上 81,000 美元，且已实现利润达到 2.0756 亿美元的周期新高，往往意味着市场上确实有获利盘卖出，但同时也有更强的买盘在高位吸收新增抛压。类似于过去在牛市反弹阶段，BTC 重新站稳重要均线后，短期往往会先经历阻力位（如 80,000/200 日均线附近）争夺，随后在确认收盘后继续上行。
短期交易上，新闻明确给出了“守住 81,000 美元，否则回看 75,000/73,000”的路径；若日线或周线收盘持续站上该水平，市场更可能上探 83,000–85,000 区间并进一步测试 89,000–94,000。链上方面，MPI 仍低于 0 说明矿工卖压没有在高位被放大，这通常能降低快速回撤风险。若未来 MPI 上行至 0.5 以上，则可能带来“高位矿工获利了结”的潜在波动，但在当前矿工卖压已相对缓和的前提下，更可能表现为温和震荡而非直接转熊。
长期上，若 BTC 能把 81,000 变成支撑并在更高时间框架突破 200 日均线区域，可能强化趋势延续预期；反之，若无法维持关键收盘位，利润兑现会更容易从“被吸收”演变为“主导抛压”，导致回撤扩大。