Bitcoin (BTC) Price Warning: Analysts Fear Another Plunge to $60K

Bitcoin (BTC) failed at $76,000 last week and was rejected again near $72,000 a few days later. The subsequent Friday correction pushed BTC to a four-week low around $65,500, and while it has bounced to above $66,000, several analysts on X say BTC is not “out of the woods” and could drop further. Michaël van de Poppe warned that BTC may follow the same consolidation pattern as prior cycles: “hang here for a bit” before sweeping lows lower. He highlighted $60,000 as a key level to watch—his preferred zone to open long positions if BTC revisits that area. However, his bearish scenario is invalidated if BTC rebounds decisively and breaks above $71,000. Another view from MN Fund’s founder and related commentary from CryptoQuant also suggests it is still too early to confirm a sustainable bottom, citing the lack of clear “structural signals” for a medium- to long-term trend shift. Altogether, the near-term focus is levels: BTC could test the $62K area, while Merlijn The Trader pointed to BTC’s “DCA Zone” support. He noted historical drawdowns inside that zone produced major rebounds (2015/2019/2023), but a break below now would be unprecedented in the analyst’s framework. Traders are therefore watching BTC support zones around $62K and $60K for bounce confirmation—or further downside if BTC fails and breaks through key support again.
Bearish
这条消息整体偏看跌,因为多位分析师围绕BTC的“再度下探”展开:从7.6万、7.2万的失败,到跌至约6.55万的四周低点,随后虽反弹但并未改变主线风险。van de Poppe与MN Fund的叙事都指向BTC可能先横盘再“继续扫低”,重点落在6万美元支撑;同时CryptoQuant强调尚缺乏确认趋势反转的结构性信号,这通常意味着反弹更可能是“修复性”而非“趋势性”。 与以往熊/震荡周期中的走势相似,市场常见情形是:价格在关键支撑上方出现反抽,但在缺乏趋势确认时,容易再次回到关键区间测试,导致短线资金在支撑附近形成“试多—再破位”的反复。短期上,交易上更可能出现围绕6.2万与6万美元的波动加大、止损触发与回撤延续;长期上,若BTC始终无法有效站上关键反弹门槛(例如分析师提到的7.1万),则中期下行延续概率上升。相反,若BTC迅速突破并站稳7.1万,同时伴随更清晰的结构性信号,熊方论点才会被削弱。