Bitcoin Bull Run Nears 95% Cycle Completion; Peak by Late 2025
The Bitcoin bull run has reached a new weekly high above $112,000, marking 95% completion of its current 1,017-day cycle since the November 2022 lows. Analyst CryptoBirb projects roughly 50 days remain until the cycle peak, likely between October and mid-November 2025, based on historical bull market durations of 1,060–1,100 days after major lows. Halving data shows Bitcoin is 77–86% through the typical 518–580-day post-halving rally. Technical analysis identifies key support at the 50-week SMA ($95,900) and local support at $107,700–$108,700, with resistance at $113,000–$114,100. A drop below $107,000–$108,000 could trigger 20–30% corrections. Miner break-even costs at $95,400 suggest low capitulation risk. Critical dates include September 17 for seasonal weakness and October 22 for potential pivotal movements. As the bullish momentum of this Bitcoin bull run nears its climax, traders should monitor these levels and dates closely.
Bullish
This news is bullish because Bitcoin is within 5% of completing its multi-year cycle and has just broken above $112,000, showing strong momentum. Historical patterns and halving data point to a final uptrend lasting another 50 days before a peak in late 2025. Key technical supports remain intact well below current prices, while miner break-even costs suggest low downside pressure. Critical dates—September 17 and October 22—could offer entry points for traders. Although a post-peak correction is likely, the immediate outlook favors continued gains. This mirrors past cycles where Bitcoin’s final leg to the peak delivered strong returns before any significant pullback.