Bitcoin’s Fast Crash Ends, But Deeper Capitulation Looms — Final Bottom $35K–$45K
Bitcoin briefly dipped below $65,000 after US tariff proposals, but according to analyst Doctor Profit the fastest phase of the crash has ended and markets have entered a prolonged, high-stress consolidation. Doctor Profit maps the cycle into six stages: euphoric rally (Stage 1), a quick break under $100K (Stage 2), a rapid severe drawdown (Stage 3) that saw a 38% drop and ~50% market-cap loss, and now Stage 4 — a low-volatility, high-psychological-stress sideways phase where weak hands capitulate. Short-term bounces between $57,000–$60,000 are possible, but the analyst warns Stage 5 (full capitulation) could arrive in months, driven by systemic stress or black swan events, with revised downside targets of $35,000–$45,000. Stage 6 would mark stabilization and accumulation. The analysis highlights deteriorating global liquidity and elevated trader anxiety as key risks for further downside. Primary keywords: Bitcoin, BTC, capitulation, liquidity, Bitcoin crash. Secondary/semantic keywords: market cycle, psychological stress, drawdown, liquidation, tariff shock.
Bearish
The article signals a bearish outlook. Doctor Profit’s framework places markets in a prolonged Stage 4 consolidation that typically precedes deeper capitulation (Stage 5) and lower price targets. Key drivers: deteriorating global liquidity, recent tariff-driven volatility, and a prior rapid drawdown that already erased roughly half of market value in the fastest phase. Short-term bounces around $57K–$60K may occur, but the revised final bottom range of $35K–$45K implies significant downside risk over the coming months. Historical parallels: prior Bitcoin cycles show similar patterns — euphoria, sharp break, fast severe drawdown, then prolonged weak-hands selling before a capitulation low (e.g., post-2017 peak and 2021–2022 cycle). For traders, implications are: reduce directional leverage, tighten risk controls, avoid aggressive FOMO long entries on short-term bounces, and consider staged accumulation or hedges if targeting the projected $35K–$45K range. Market makers may benefit from range-making in Stage 4, increasing liquidity on both sides and prolonging price stagnation. Overall, bias is toward more downside risk until clear structural reversal signals (volume-backed break above distribution range or definitive liquidity improvement) emerge.