Bitcoin ETF inflows surge to $663M as KelpDAO hack rattles DeFi

Bitcoin ETF inflows strengthened sentiment despite DeFi stress. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $663 million on Friday—the largest since Jan. 15—taking total inflows to $996 million last week (up from $786 million the prior week), per SoSoValue. Bitcoin held just above $75,000 after briefly trading above $78,000 on Friday, with similar price stability seen in ETH, XRP, and SOL. At the same time, DeFi risks weighed on majors linked to lending. Aave’s AAVE token fell about 1% to around $90 after the weekend KelpDAO exploit. The report highlights “collateral damage” and user withdrawals; DeFi dominance stayed near 3%, suggesting the broader DeFi market’s share hasn’t yet broken lower. Traders are also positioned cautiously: they are building short positions betting against a breakout. If BTC price holds steady, a short squeeze could force bearish traders to cover, potentially boosting spot prices. The macro backdrop remains mixed. The article notes Iran-related developments and risk appetite changes, while it also mentions an attack and seizure involving an Iranian cargo ship attempting to bypass port restrictions. Technical note for traders: Solana (SOL) remains below a key resistance level ($95.16) for roughly 12 weeks, with the next major support cited near $50. A decisive move back above the $50 area with higher volumes would help invalidate the bearish setup. Overall, the bitcoin ETF inflows signal structural demand, but KelpDAO-driven DeFi jitters and bearish positioning raise near-term volatility risk for BTC and the broader alt complex.
Neutral
偏中性:一方面,bitcoin ETF inflows明显改善(周五现货ETF净流入6.63亿美元、上周总流入9.96亿美元),这类“持续资金流”通常会为BTC提供底部支撑,并在长期上强化机构需求预期;类似以往ETF资金走强的阶段,BTC往往更容易维持高位盘整、等待催化。 另一方面,KelpDAO黑客带来的DeFi连锁风险仍在酝酿:AAVE下跌、TVL/抵押品受损迹象会抑制风险偏好,并可能通过流动性/担保链条对市场情绪造成短期压制。此外,文章提到交易者正在建立空头仓位,短期虽可能因价格守稳出现空头挤压形成“突发上冲”,但也意味着市场并不完全确认上行趋势,波动性可能上升。 技术面也显示分化:SOL持续弱于关键位,表明部分山寨仍处于偏空结构,这往往意味着资金可能更偏向BTC而非全市场同步上行。短期(数天)更可能是“BTC看资金流、山寨看风险释放与技术位”的结构性行情;长期(数周到数月)若bitcoin ETF inflows维持并且DeFi黑客后的清算/恢复进入可控区间,市场才更可能从中性走向偏多。