Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $258M as BTC Falls to $108.7K
On Sept 25, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $258 million, marking continuous redemptions except for inflows into BlackRock’s IBIT. This Bitcoin ETF outflow coincided with BTC slipping to a four-week low of $108,700, testing the $109K support level.
Ethereum spot ETFs also recorded $251 million in withdrawals, the fourth consecutive day of outflows. On-chain data from Glassnode shows long-term holders realizing over 3.4 million BTC in profits this cycle, signaling market exhaustion. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) sits at 1.01, indicating some sellers are exiting at a loss, while Short-Term Holder NUPL nears zero, warning of possible forced liquidations.
Analysts warn of a potential deeper correction if BTC breaks the $107,500 early-September low, as stop-loss selling could accelerate the downturn. However, Binance liquidity data and CryptoQuant models suggest the 10–11% pullback from the all-time high may be a controlled correction. A sustained hold above $109K–$110K could lead to consolidation and a retest of $118K–$122K.
Traders should watch for key support levels and institutional Bitcoin ETF flows. A break below $109K may trigger further bearish momentum, while resilience could signal a base for recovery.
Bearish
The substantial $258M outflow from Bitcoin ETFs reflects waning institutional demand and coincides with BTC testing a crucial support at $109K. On-chain metrics, including high realized profits by long-term holders and low NUPL levels, signal market exhaustion and the risk of forced liquidations. Historically, similar large ETF outflows in 2021 preceded deeper corrections when key technical levels failed. While Binance data suggests a controlled pullback, a break below $107.5K could trigger accelerated stop-loss selling. In the short term, traders face heightened downside risk; long term, recovery hinges on renewed ETF inflows and confirmation of support above $109K.