Bitcoin Network Activity Index Slips as On-Chain Demand Stays Weak

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Network Activity Index has continued in a downtrend, implying that on-chain demand for using the Bitcoin network remains weak. The index aggregates active receiving/sending addresses, transaction counts (total and per block), UTXO count, and bytes per block. Community analyst Maartunn shared a chart showing the Bitcoin Network Activity Index has been sliding for months and remains below its 365-day moving average, a pattern often seen during bearish phases. Notably, even during BTC’s rally to new all-time highs in 2025, the Bitcoin Network Activity Index stayed in a “red”/bearish zone, suggesting network usage did not strengthen with the price. The article also cites Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score by Wallet Cohort: many investor cohorts have recently printed neutral-to-red values, leaning toward distribution rather than accumulation. A few cohorts accumulated after the February price drop, but the broader picture remains mixed. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $70,900, up over 2% in 24 hours, but the on-chain indicators point to weaker real demand underneath. Traders may watch for a reversal in the Bitcoin Network Activity Index and a shift in Glassnode’s cohort scores to confirm whether current strength can sustainably translate into improved network activity.
Bearish
这条消息对交易的核心含义是:即使BTC价格短线反弹,支撑“需求”的链上活动仍在降温。Bitcoin Network Activity Index持续低于365天均线且维持偏红区间,通常与市场处于更偏熊的需求结构相关——类似的情况在历史牛市后段也会出现:价格先行,但网络使用强度滞后。 短期层面,链上走弱可能使反弹更容易出现“冲高回落”,因为资金可能更多是交易而非真实使用/参与增加。若玻璃纸指标(如按钱包群体的Accumulation Trend Score)继续以分配为主,市场上行需要更强的催化,才能推动链上数据同步改善。 长期层面,如果Bitcoin Network Activity Index最终发生反转并重新站上关键均线,同时钱包群体的得分从红转向中性/累积,往往会增强趋势的可持续性;反之,长期低位运行会意味着上行缺乏基本面验证,容易让市场在震荡或回撤中反复定价。 综合来看:链上需求未确认增强,因此更偏向bearish(偏空)情景,至少在等待链上指标扭转前,仓位与杠杆应保持谨慎。