Study tok say Bitcoin dey usually perform pass gold and S&P 500 after global shocks
One new study from Mercado Bitcoin wey Rony Szuster lead find say Bitcoin (BTC) dey often give stronger returns pass safe-haven assets like gold and equities like S&P 500 inside 60 days after big global shocks. Dem use “event + 60 days” window take compare periods after events like COVID-19 outbreak and wide US import tariff announcements.
For the examples wey dem mention, Bitcoin climb about 24% after the US tariff escalation for April 2023, pass gold (+~8%) and the S&P 500 (+~4%). During early COVID-19 (March 2020), Bitcoin gain around 21%, while both gold and the S&P 500 lag.
The latest update cover the US-Iran conflict escalation. Since tensions increase, Bitcoin don up more than 2.2%, while gold don down about 11% and the S&P 500 down roughly 4.4% (na im biggest monthly drop since 2022). Szuster tell traders make dem no quick to judge Bitcoin based only on the initial aftermath, because liquidity needs fit trigger selling wey go pressure even the assets wey normally dey “defensive”.
For traders, the main takeaway be say Bitcoin relative medium-term strength versus gold and equities don dey more consistent than the first few days of sell-offs, but timing risk still dey around shock headlines. (Not investment advice; crypto volatility still high.)
Bullish
Di study tok tok say make Bitcoin dey usually recover and pass gold and S&P 500 for medium-term (60-day) after big shocks. Di latest mention of U.S.-Iran wahala — Bitcoin dey up while gold and equities dey down — dey support near-term saying say BTC get relative strength. But di author warn make pesin no judge early, because liquidity-driven selling fit put pressure for even defensive assets briefly. Net impact: for BTC self, di historical pattern plus di current conflict snapshot dey skew positive for traders wey dey position for post-shock rebounds, but timing suppose consider initial volatility spikes.