Bitcoin’s Q4 Performance Points to a Strong 2025 Year-End Rally
Bitcoin has historically delivered robust returns during the fourth quarter, averaging 23% gains over the past five years. Notable rallies include Q4 2017 (+47%), Q4 2020 (+20%) and Q4 2023 (+15%). Analysts argue that the upcoming April 2024 halving will tighten supply, setting the stage for a significant price surge into Q4 2025. Institutional adoption, rising on-chain activity and fading macro uncertainty further bolster this outlook. Traders should monitor Bitcoin’s price action, trading volume and halving-related volatility as key indicators for entry and exit points.
Bullish
Bitcoin’s historical fourth-quarter rallies—driven by halving cycles, institutional demand and seasonal market trends—suggest a bullish trajectory into Q4 2025. Past patterns in 2017 and 2020 show substantial gains following supply shocks. In the short term, traders can capitalize on halving volatility and year-end momentum. Over the long term, reduced issuance and growing on-chain utility reinforce a structurally bullish outlook for Bitcoin.