BTC +31% rally: APAC & US hours drive gains
Bitcoin (BTC) rose about 31% over the past three months, but the advance was not evenly distributed across the trading day. Velo data shows most of the upside came during APAC (00:00–08:00 UTC) and US (16:00–00:00 UTC) sessions, while Europe (08:00–16:00 UTC) lagged. APAC returned about +13%, the US about +11.5%, and Europe about +6.5%.
BTC’s strongest hourly window was 00:00–01:00 UTC, averaging roughly +0.10% per hour. This window aligns with the overlap of late US trading and early APAC liquidity. The next-best hour was 15:00 UTC, while the weakest performance was around 06:00 UTC.
On a day-of-week basis, Monday led with about +1.5% average gains. Wednesday averaged around +0.65% and Friday around +0.3%. Thursday was the weakest at roughly -0.55%, and weekends were mildly negative (about -0.25%), with an overall weekly average near +0.4%.
A key update: the US session’s contribution shifted. After mostly flat/weak action in February–March, US hours began driving stronger upside from early April. These BTC timing patterns may help traders with execution and risk management, but they do not guarantee future follow-through.
Neutral
The data reinforces that BTC’s recent rally has been led by APAC and US liquidity, and it highlights a shift since early April where the US session began contributing more positively. That can support tactical execution (e.g., higher odds of stronger intraday follow-through during the 00:00–01:00 UTC window and other APAC/US hours).
However, the article itself frames these as historical timing patterns rather than a guarantee of continuation. Europe’s weaker contribution and the presence of underperforming periods (notably around 06:00 UTC and on Thursdays) also suggest the edge is inconsistent. Overall, this is more useful for optimizing trade timing and managing risk than for making a direct directional call on BTC’s next move.