US-Iran peace deal dey boost BTC, but weak momentum dey raise risk say e fit test low again
Bitcoin (BTC) rebound dey linked to one US–Iran peace deal we fit calm down geopolitics and reduce oil-risk wahala. But LVRG Research director Nick Ruck warn say the rally still no get strong conviction: BTC don reclaim about $67,000, yet momentum weak and on-chain/volume signals stagnate, meaning fit follow “volatile path” if the deal break. Swissblock add say BTC momentum and On-Balance Volume (OBV) still dey for bear-market regime, with momentum near -1 and OBV around -1.7 million. Normal pattern be say momentum go weak first, then OBV go contract, then downside breaks—so traders suppose dey alert to another retest of recent lows. For timing, Trump talk say dem expect sign the agreement on Friday and e include opening the Strait of Hormuz and lifting US blockade measures on the strait and Iranian ports. BTC small time drop below $66,000 after e bounce pass $67,000, showing participation dey fade as traders dey wait for confirmation say the geopolitical catalyst go hold.
Bearish
Even though get one possible geopolitical catalyst wey fit support (US-Iran de-escalation and oil-risk relief), both articles dey stress say BTC confirmation weak. LVRG talk say volume dey drop and on-chain metrics don dey stagnant after BTC reclaim about $67,000, while Swissblock show momentum and OBV near bear-market lows. That combination dey usually come before downside retests, and the recent slip back below about $66,000 confirm say participation dey fade. Short term, traders fit see hedge-like bids around headlines, but the broader expectation remain risk-off pressure if the deal shakey. Long term, the rally no likely go trend sustainably without momentum and OBV turning positive, leaving BTC vulnerable to repeated low retests around key support zones.