Bitcoin sinks; MSTR, BMNR and HOOD hit monthly lows
Bitcoin fell to its lowest level since early March 2 on Friday, trading around $65.8K (down more than 4% on the day, and as low as ~$65.7K). The drop was linked to renewed geopolitical risk as markets reacted to Iran-related developments after the weekend assault.
The selloff spilled into crypto-linked equities. Strategy’s stock (MSTR) slid over 5%, printing a monthly low below $124. BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) also hit a monthly low around $18.42. Robinhood (HOOD) reached a monthly low near $66, down more than 11% over the past month.
Altcoins followed: Ethereum (ETH) fell about 4% to around $1,980, Solana (SOL) dropped roughly 5% under $83, and BNB eased around 3% to about $608. Over $500M in crypto positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with long positions making up nearly 90% of the losses.
On sentiment, traders on a prediction market (Myriad) shifted increasingly bearish: odds for Bitcoin’s next move being $55,000 rose to about 64% versus $84,000 earlier in the week.
For traders, today’s driver is risk-off positioning plus forced selling (liquidations), with Bitcoin weakness pulling both majors and crypto-adjacent equities lower.
Bearish
该消息整体偏空。比特币在宏观“风险厌恶”背景下跌破近期支撑区间，且伴随量化式的被动流动性事件：过去24小时清算规模超过5亿美元，且接近90%来自多头。这种结构通常会在短期内放大下跌动能，因为多头需要先减仓止损，价格更易出现瀑布式滑移。
同时，和比特币强相关的上市公司（MSTR、BMNR、HOOD）同步创月内低点，说明市场并未只在加密资产内部交易，而是将“加密风险”一并计入更广义的风险定价。类似历史情形中，当地缘冲突/政策不确定性触发风险撤离、并叠加多头清算时，短期往往维持弱势并加剧波动；中期则要等清算告一段落、买盘重新出现才可能企稳。
从交易角度：若比特币继续承压并维持偏空预期（预测市场押注下一站5.5万美元概率走高），则上冲反弹的持续性可能较弱；但一旦清算减少、空头动能衰减，可能出现“先跌后震荡”的修复行情。