Bloomberg Projects 95% Chance of XRP Spot ETF Approval by End of 2025
Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have raised the odds of a major XRP spot ETF approval to 95% by late 2025, up from 65% at the start of the year and 85% in April. The update, shared by XRP community influencer Fabio Zuccara on X, highlights growing regulatory momentum under the SEC’s new leadership and a pro-crypto U.S. administration. Multiple XRP ETF filings—including those from Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, CoinShares, Franklin Templeton and Canary Capital—have been acknowledged, triggering a 240-day SEC review with final deadlines between October 18 and 25, 2025. XRP is trading around $2.12 amid strong investor sentiment. A successful XRP ETF could open the asset to traditional investors, boost institutional investment, and validate XRP’s role in cross-border payments and real-world finance.
Bullish
Bloomberg’s 95% probability projection for an XRP spot ETF approval signals strong regulatory momentum and institutional interest. Historically, ETF approvals for Bitcoin and Ethereum triggered significant capital inflows, pushing prices higher. With multiple filings acknowledged and a clear October 2025 decision window, traders may increase longs on XRP, anticipating heightened liquidity and broader market access. In the short term, positive sentiment around XRP ETF prospects could sustain upward price pressure. Over the long term, ETF approval would likely cement XRP’s legitimacy, attract institutional capital, and support a new price floor as traditional investors gain exposure through regulated products.