BLOX Outperforms LFGY and Spot Bitcoin — Income ETF Shows Downside Resilience
Nicholas Crypto Income ETF (BLOX) has outperformed both YieldMax’s LFGY and a spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) over the past six months, returning +15.51% versus IBIT’s -14.62% and LFGY’s capital-depleting performance. Earlier coverage described BLOX as an income-first product using ETP holdings, crypto equities and options-writing to target high distributions (much classified as return of capital). The later, updated analysis credits BLOX’s recent outperformance to a diversified portfolio mix — spot Bitcoin ETFs, crypto equities and flexible options strategies (put spreads and covered-call-like structures) — and to income from physical assets plus options premiums. By contrast, LFGY relies on a synthetic options approach that the author argues produces higher beta, structural capital erosion and larger NAV drawdowns during Bitcoin sell-offs. A stress test cited in the updated piece estimates a 20% Bitcoin drop could cut BLOX NAV by ~18–25% but LFGY NAV by ~35–45%. Analysts rate BLOX a Buy for its structured asset selection and income generation, and assign LFGY a Hold due to higher downside risk. Key takeaways for traders: BLOX offers income overlay and lower downside volatility versus pure-spot BTC exposure, benefits from options premium and diversified holdings, and may trade with lower beta to BTC/ETH; however, many distributions are return of capital (affecting tax timing and cost basis) and payout sustainability depends on ongoing options income and market volatility. Short-term implication: BLOX can cushion BTC drawdowns but may lag strong crypto rallies. Long-term implication: BLOX is more defensive in prolonged bear markets but will underperform in sharp bull runs.
Neutral
The combined coverage points to a neutral price impact on Bitcoin. BLOX’s income overlay and diversified holdings provide downside cushioning and have led to outperformance versus spot BTC and LFGY over the recent six-month period, which supports reduced short-term downside volatility for BTC-linked products. However, BLOX does not increase long-term upside exposure to BTC — it may underperform in a strong rally because income and options overlays limit upside participation. The stress-test estimates (BLOX NAV down ~18–25% vs LFGY ~35–45% on a 20% BTC drop) imply that BLOX moderates tail risk but does not remove it. Traders should therefore treat the news as supportive for defensive ETF flows and demand for income-oriented crypto products (which could marginally stabilize BTC in sell-offs), but not as a catalyst for a sustained Bitcoin price rally. Net effect: limited positive pressure on stability and flows, balanced by the likelihood that spot BTC will still lead large directional moves.