BTC Price Targets for April 1: Traders Lean Bearish on Polymarket

Crypto traders on Polymarket are setting BTC price targets for April 1, 2026, with a clear tilt toward downside scenarios. As of March 25, nearly 21% of Polymarket bets price a BTC drop to $65,000 by April 1. That bearish $65,000 odds have fallen 63% recently as BTC rebounded, but they remain the largest share of volume, totaling about $7.7 million. Lower price calls are smaller but notable: the probability of BTC sliding to $60,000 is 5% (volume $5.2 million). Bets for $55,000 and $50,000 are each around 1% (volumes $5.2 million and $3.2 million, respectively). Aggregated, forecasts imply about a 29% chance BTC trades below its current level by April 1. On the upside, traders assign an 8% chance BTC spikes to $80,000 by April 1 (bullish conviction down ~25% in 24 hours). The $85,000 scenario is 2%, while a rally to $90,000 is 1%. Market context: BTC has gained bullish momentum over the past 30 days, rising about 8.78% to roughly $71,440 at publication time, though it is down about 3.93% over the past seven days. For traders, the key takeaway is that BTC futures-like expectations on Polymarket skew bearish for April 1, despite a near-term rebound.