BTC Elliott Wave: Wave 4 Flat/Triangle Near $78K
Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering near $78K after a 3-wave drop from Friday’s high. A chart read attributed to More Crypto Online suggests the current decline may be part of a larger BTC Elliott Wave setup, where Wave 4 forms a messy flat or triangle before a Wave 5 push.
On the 15-minute BTCUSD chart, Fibonacci levels frame key decision zones: $78,070 (23.60% retracement), $77,533 (38.20%), and $77,102 (50%). The analysis notes BTC was around $78,353 when the chart was printed. Traders are also watching a support area around $77,700 (SuperTrend support) and a resistance band near $78,000–$78,500.
The bullish implication of this BTC Elliott Wave scenario is a continuation toward projected Wave 5 targets near $82,000 and possibly $83,000 (completion of the labeled wave 5/C zone). However, the “flat vs triangle” outcome depends on buyer behavior around the $77,533 region. A hold near the 38.20% level would support the triangle thesis, while a sharper break below ~$77,100 would weaken the wave count.
Additional context: the broader view on the same chart frames an (A)(B)(C) corrective structure, with the recent base as Wave (B) and the ongoing move as Wave (C). The article emphasizes this is technical analysis only and not financial advice.
Neutral
这则消息本质上是 BTC 的技术形态解读：当前接近 $78K，可能处于“4浪扁平或三角形盘整”阶段，而不是直接确认反转或单边趋势。该结构通常意味着市场需要先完成一个更复杂的整理，然后才更可能选择方向。
短期上，关键触发位集中在 $77,533（38.20%）与 $77,700（SuperTrend）附近：守住则更偏向后续上行（5浪目标 $82K–$83K）；若跌破接近 $77,100，则会削弱该 BTC Elliott Wave 波浪计数，增加震荡甚至回撤延续的风险。与此同时，$78,000–$78,500 的卖压带与 $79,000 的上方突破条件，决定了短线多头能否形成有效上攻。
从交易行为看，这类“波浪4盘整/扁平或三角形”往往对应流动性收敛与区间交易增强，类似以往 BTC 在关键斐波那契区间附近反复测试后再选择方向的情形。长期而言，若最终走出 5浪，可能把当前修正周期拉回到更强的上行动能；但在未突破 $79K、且 $77K 一带反复失守之前，整体更适合将其视为中性偏等待的结构信号，而非确定性利多。