Wahala-market bottom wey dem dey expect for BTC go reach $42K–$44K before end of 2026
Wetin Jiang Zhuoer, wey be Chinese mining guy, bin talk na say BTC bear market bottom fit no show until late 2026. For im own main downside range, e be $42,000–$44,000, with chance say low go happen around Okt–Dis 2026. Dis talk dem put am as cycle model, no be short-term trade.
One key sign na say Strategy mNAV don fall to like 0.72. For that article dem claim say that metric (as proxy for leveraged BTC exposure) fit reach bottom earlier than spot BTC, because Strategy BTC-related premium fit turn first. Trader suppose treat $42K–$44K area as scenario wey prices fit go down, no be certainty.
For latest note, dem stress timing risk inside market wey dey now: ETF flow, macro liquidity, and corporate treasury demand fit change the usual history pattern. If BTC rally happen but no sustain, and institutions no dey buy well, $42,000–$44,000 fit become support zone wey everybody go dey watch. But if BTC regain key resistance and demand come back, the forecast go just be reminder say bearish risk dey, but e no happen.
Bearish
Inside report, main message na bearish for BTC be say e point to later, possibly deeper bear-market low ($42K–$44K) no be near-term bottom. Even though Strategy mNAV (~0.72) fit show earlier change/turning point for beside spot BTC, the whole idea still dey expect more months of weakness before final BTC low/trough. For short-term trading, e fit make traders go take defensive position, tighten risk control, and reduce spot holdings/coverage, while dem dey watch if BTC no go sustain the recoveries. For long-term side, market fit start bet for support around $42K–$44K only if institutional demand (ETF flow and wider liquidity) still weak. But article still talk say timing no sure: if ETF/institutional flows improve and BTC retake the resistance, that bearish downside no fit happen—so bearish effect go reduce.