Bitcoin Rally to $140K–150K by 2025 on ETF Inflows, Fed Cuts
Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg sees Bitcoin poised for a 27% surge from its current $118,350 to approximately $150,000 by 2025, with an 11% rise to $129,690 possible by September 2025. He assigns over a 50% chance to a peak between $140,000 and $150,000 before a new bear phase in 2026. This outlook is underpinned by robust spot Bitcoin ETF inflows, large-scale purchases by sovereign wealth funds and insurers, and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts in September or October. On-chain and technical analysis shows an ascending 4-hour channel: a close above $125,000 could drive the Bitcoin price toward $140,000, while support rests at $116,000 and $112,000. Momentum indicators are mixed, with strong short-term buying but neutral RSI. Other bulls, including Michael Saylor and Cathie Wood, project mid-term targets up to $1 million. Traders should monitor ETF flows, Fed policy shifts and key chart levels for entry and exit signals as Bitcoin price momentum builds.
Bullish
The combined forecasts hinge on strong institutional demand from spot Bitcoin ETFs and large treasury purchases, plus expected Fed rate cuts that typically boost risk assets. Technical charts show a clear ascending channel, with a breakout above $125K likely triggering an 18–27% rally toward $140K–$150K. Mixed momentum readings suggest short-term strength outweighs medium-term caution. While a bear market is anticipated in 2026, the near- to mid-term outlook remains positive. Traders will respond to ETF flow data, Fed policy signals and support/resistance tests, making this a bullish setup for Bitcoin in 2025.