Cardano Sell-Off Pushes Investors to Self-Custody as ADA Hits Multi‑Month Lows

Cardano’s ADA plunged to $0.27 — its lowest since August 2024 — and trades around $0.29, down roughly 15% on the week. Several technical analysts warned of deeper losses: DrBullZeus identified a critical support zone at $0.24–$0.28 and warned a break could send ADA to $0.125 or $0.075; Matthew Dixon marked $0.24 as key long-term support; Harmonic Trader predicted sub-$0.10 in six months. Conversely, bullish voices (including analysts “Lucky” and LaPetite) suggested buy-the-dip scenarios and potential rallies up to near $1 tied to upcoming Cardano announcements. Exchange netflow data from CoinGlass shows sustained outflows exceeding inflows over recent days and weeks — indicating investors are withdrawing ADA from centralized exchanges into self-custody wallets. Market implication: reduced on-exchange supply may lower immediate selling pressure, but technical risk remains high if key supports fail. Primary keywords: Cardano, ADA price, self-custody, exchange outflows, support levels.
Neutral
The net effect is mixed. Exchange outflows and rising self-custody suggest holders are removing immediate sell-side liquidity from marketplaces, which can be bullish by reducing short-term downward pressure. However, ADA is at multi‑month lows and multiple reputable technical analysts warn of deeper declines if the $0.24 support breaks — predictions range down to $0.075–$0.10. Short-term: elevated volatility and downside risk remain high; traders should watch exchange netflows, on-chain activity, and the $0.24–$0.28 support zone. Reduced on-exchange supply may support bounces or dampen sell-offs, but failing support could trigger stop-loss cascades. Long-term: fundamentals or upcoming Cardano announcements (if material) could spur recovery; absent positive catalysts, prolonged market weakness is possible as sentiment and macro factors weigh. Similar past episodes (notably crypto drawdowns where net outflows rose before rebounds) show outflows can precede stabilisation but do not guarantee recovery — technical structure ultimately dictates near-term direction.