China Restricts Rare Earths, Dollar Falls, Bitcoin Surges

China has imposed strict limits on rare earth exports to the US military sector, cutting off over 90% of global supply. The move aims to pressure Washington by disrupting key tech and defense supply chains. Macro analyst Luke Gromen says this signals a weakening US dollar and accelerating currency debasement. He predicts investors will shift to hard money assets such as Bitcoin to hedge against inflation and dollar weakness, while stablecoins offer only a temporary fix. The US Dollar Currency Index is down more than 10% year-to-date—its worst performance since 1973—and the dollar has lost 40% of purchasing power since 2000. As confidence in the US dollar falls, Bitcoin and gold have reached new highs. Meanwhile, President Trump has threatened 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, further escalating tensions. China’s third-quarter GDP growth may hit a one-year low due to a property slump and weak trade demand, prompting Beijing to consider broader stimulus. Crypto traders should monitor rare earth export restrictions and dollar trends when adjusting their Bitcoin allocations.
Bullish
China’s rare earth export restrictions target critical minerals for electronics and defense, undermining US dollar hegemony. The resulting supply chain disruptions and threats of tariffs have weakened the US dollar, prompting investors to seek hard money assets. Bitcoin, as a decentralized digital asset, benefits from increased demand as a hedge against currency debasement. In the short term, price volatility may rise as traders reposition funds, but the longer-term trend favors Bitcoin’s appreciation amid declining dollar confidence and potential Chinese stimulus boosting global liquidity.