Clarity Act Draft Limits Trump’s Crypto Until 2029, While Advancing Market-Structure Bill

The latest Senate draft of the Clarity Act would block President Trump, other officials, and their spouses from issuing or sponsoring crypto while in office. However, the ethics restriction sunsets on January 20, 2029, and enforcement would rest with the Justice Department. The proposal centers on potential conflicts tied to Trump’s meme coin ventures and his family firm, World Liberty Financial. Disclosures cited by Democrats say Trump earned over $1.2 billion from crypto-related businesses last year. Senator Elizabeth Warren has argued for broader, longer-lasting restrictions on the president, senior officials, and their families—critics say this draft may fall short because it does not extend the limits to Trump’s sons. Despite the ethics fight, the bill keeps key industry provisions. It preserves the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act safe harbor for non-custodial developers, clarifying they are not “money transmitters,” a major legal red line for developers. It also keeps stablecoin yield limits unchanged, restricting rewards on idle stablecoin balances. Majority Leader John Thune plans floor action soon, with the first week of August seen as the last realistic window before the August recess. Passage still requires 60 Senate votes, meaning at least about 10 Democrats would need to support it.
Bullish
This is a two-sided development: the Clarity Act contains an ethics restriction, but it is temporary and leaves enforcement to the DOJ. The part that matters most for trading—legal market-structure certainty—is still moving forward, including the non-custodial “money transmitter” safe harbor and unchanged stablecoin yield limits. Historically, U.S. bills that improve regulatory clarity (even with political amendments) tend to reduce headline risk for exchanges, stablecoin issuers, and developer ecosystems. The market often re-rates risk once the probability of a comprehensive framework rises. Here, the key risk is political pushback and the 60-vote hurdle, which can create volatility around Senate scheduling. Short term, traders may price in “progress toward passage” while hedging for delays or amendments triggered by Democrats—especially because the ethics ban sunsets on 2029-01-20. Long term, if the Clarity Act passes, the safe harbor for non-custodial developers and the codified treatment of stablecoin yield should support broader onshore activity and improve compliance expectations, which is typically constructive for liquidity and sentiment.