Core Scientific Q1 loss: BTC mining revenue drops 45%, pivots to AI colocation

Core Scientific reported a $347.2M Q1 net loss (-$1.06/share) as BTC mining economics deteriorated. Revenue rose to $115.2M (from $79.5M YoY), but BTC mining revenue from self-mining fell from $67.2M to $30.1M. Newly mined BTC dropped 45% YoY to 279 coins, and the company sold 2,385 BTC for $208.3M to support liquidity and planned capital expenditures. Earnings were pressured by large, non-cash items: $266.5M in asset impairment charges plus $30.8M from fair value changes in derivatives and warrants. Results also missed analyst expectations ($120.2M vs reported $115.2M). Strategy shift is the key new offset. Core Scientific is expanding high-density colocation and AI infrastructure rather than relying mainly on BTC mining. Q1 colocation revenue jumped to $77.5M (from $8.6M YoY). Power billed to customers reached 243MW, implying ~$350M annualized colocation revenue potential. After new CoreWeave contracts, a 12-year agreement signed in June 2024 for 200MW was later expanded to 590MW across six sites (per a Feb 2025 SEC filing). The firm also plans to expand its Muskogee, Oklahoma campus to 1.5GW gross capacity (~1GW available for lease), supported by the planned Polaris DS LLC acquisition. For traders, this is a mixed setup: near-term sentiment remains vulnerable due to BTC mining revenue collapse, while the AI hosting buildout could stabilize the revenue mix over the longer term. The headline risk for crypto market participants is that worsening BTC mining economics can reinforce broader caution around BTC-adjacent equities in the short run, even as hosting growth offsets part of the fiscal impact.
Bearish
BTC mining deterioration is the dominant signal in both reports. The sharp YoY fall in self-mining BTC production and revenue (including BTC mining revenue dropping to $30.1M) directly worsens near-term cash-flow and earnings quality, amplified by major impairment and derivative/warrant fair value losses. While AI infrastructure and high-density colocation growth are strong, they currently read more as a longer-term revenue mix hedge than an immediate replacement for BTC mining economics. For BTC itself, weaker mining profitability and risk-off sentiment around BTC-adjacent equity performance can translate into bearish pressure in the near term, even if hosting demand trends improve later.