Clarity stablecoin yield talks don restart as banks dey push back

Dem tok wey dey negotiate US 'Clarity Act' wey concern stablecoin yield don start again, people inside dey talk say dem fit reach breakthrough dis month. White House go drop report wey dey pro-crypto, adviser Patrick Witt talk say reward programs for fully backed stablecoins no dey pose threat to banks business model. But bank lobby groups dey resist. Community banks warn say yield-like stablecoins fit comot 'billions' from insured deposits. Some Wall Street firms still dey call interest-bearing stablecoins 'shadow deposits,' dem talk say e fit drain up to about $500B by 2028. Timing matter for traders. Odds trackers (via Coingape) put chance say Clarity Act go pass in 2026 around 64%, higher from February. Earlier drafts wey Senators Thom Tillis and Angela Alsobrooks support get opposition from Coinbase and Stripe. Paul Grewal of Coinbase say stablecoin yield deal 'very close,' but the March 23 text ban passive yield on stablecoin balances and only allow strictly defined activity-based rewards. If stablecoin yield rules settle, lawmakers likely go move later this year to DeFi and tokenization issues, including whether tokens go be treated as securities or commodities. For markets, USD Coin still central for payments and on-chain yield strategies, so regulatory clarity fit shift US demand and short-term risk appetite.
Neutral
Di clear di news about price direction. One side, renewed road to compromise for stablecoin yield and one possible pro-crypto White House report fit support stablecoin flows—specially if rules only allow small, activity-based rewards. Other side, strong bank opposition and the big unresolved tension (passive yield on balances banned) raise chances say outcome go small steps, not fully market-friendly. Short term, traders go likely focus for policy headlines and probabilities (chance for 2026 passage dey increase), this fit make volatility go up around stablecoin demand and on-chain yield strategies. Long term, the bigger shift to DeFi tokenization and how securities/commodities dem classify fit matter more than this first stablecoin yield carve-out. Net-net, because the final stablecoin yield text still fit change and banks still push back, the likely impact on the coin itself (USDC) better describe as neutral not clearly bullish or bearish.