Crypto price outlook 12/26 — BTC edges up but bears cap rallies; key levels for BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP and others

Bitcoin attempted a relief rally above $89,500 but bulls failed to hold higher levels; sustained recovery may require renewed institutional demand. Since Dec. 15, BTC ETFs have seen over $1 billion in outflows. Analysts note Fed policy will remain a key driver in Q1 2026; a 0.25% rate cut and steady Treasury purchases could push BTC toward $92–98k if ETF inflows and institutional accumulation resume. Short-term technical levels: BTC support at $84,000 (break risks drop to $80,600 and $74,508); resistance at the 20-day EMA (~$88.6k) and $94,589, with $100,000 as bullish target. Ether trades inside a symmetrical triangle — break above moving averages could target $4,000; breakdown risks $2,623 and $2,373. BNB sits on an uptrend line; a move above moving averages could challenge $928, failure risks a slide to $790. XRP attempts recovery inside a descending channel; needs a close above 20-day EMA (~$1.93) to reach $2.09 and the downtrend line; supports at $1.61 and $1.25. Solana faces resistance at the 20-day EMA (~$127); break below $116 risks $95. Dogecoin remains under $0.13; loss of $0.12 targets $0.10, while gains above MAs could reach $0.19. Cardano shows RSI positive divergence; close above 20-day EMA (~$0.38) could target $0.43–$0.50, while failure risks $0.30 and $0.27. Bitcoin Cash shows relative strength and could rally past $631 to $720 if buyers hold; otherwise possible consolidation between $443–$631. Chainlink is rangebound between ~$12.78 and $11.61; breakout could target $15–$16.8, breakdown risks a fall toward $7.90. Hyperliquid (HYPE) sits below its 20-day EMA but above $22.19; a break above the EMA could push to ~$32 and $35.50, while a failure risks a retest of Oct lows near $20.82. Overall market: major altcoins are struggling near recent lows while Bitcoin’s path depends on institutional flows and macro policy cues. This is not investment advice.
Neutral
The article presents mixed signals: short-term price action shows failed bullish attempts and selling pressure at higher levels across many major coins, while Bitcoin Cash and some setups (positive RSI divergences) show pockets of strength. Crucially, institutional flows and macro policy (Fed rate moves) are highlighted as the primary catalysts — conditions outside pure technicals. Recent BTC ETF outflows (> $1B since Dec. 15) weigh on momentum, limiting a clear bullish case. Technicals: multiple coins are at critical support/resistance bands where a decisive break could fuel directional moves. For traders, this implies elevated volatility and event-driven risk: short-term trades should respect defined support/resistance and tight risk management; positions may remain rangebound until clearer macro/institutional signals (ETF inflows, Fed cuts or liquidity shifts) emerge. Historically, similar environments (ETF flow-driven moves and Fed-driven macro shifts) produced neutral-to-bearish near-term sentiment until institutional demand resumed — then prices re-accelerated. Therefore the overall impact is neutral: potential for both downside continuation if selling persists or sharp recovery if institutional demand returns.