ETH SuperTrend Turns Green, Yet $2,400 Resistance Holds
Ethereum (ETH) saw its daily SuperTrend flip bullish for the first time since May 2024. However, the move is still blocked by repeated resistance around $2,400.
Analysts highlighted that ETH broke above the $1,750–$2,150 range ceiling and surged into the $2,340–$2,420 supply band, but was rejected and pushed back down. Key trader DamiDefi (X) said ETH is “sitting on the most important line” near $2,150, and the breakout only holds if $2,150 keeps support on daily closes. Losing $2,150 risks the breakout becoming a fakeout.
Volume is a concern. CyrilXBT (X) noted volume faded after February’s spike, so there is no clear conviction on either side. He also stressed that a decisive break above $2,400 with strong volume is needed to change the bullish outlook.
On indicators, the SuperTrend green flip is bullish, while RSI is back near neutral and MACD has turned into a bullish crossover—signals that often support trend continuation attempts. Still, confirmation depends on price action: bulls need $2,150 to hold, then targets are $2,340–$2,420; bears want one bad daily close below $2,150, with downside potential toward $2,000 and then the $1.75k area.
Net: ETH has a fresh bullish technical signal, but traders should watch $2,150 support and whether volume returns to clear $2,400.
Neutral
尽管ETH日线SuperTrend转绿给出偏多的技术信号，但文章强调“2,400美元仍未被突破”，且成交量在2月后明显萎缩。通常在类似的区间突破情境中，如果突破发生但缺乏量能配合，容易出现回落并把突破“打回区间”。
短期看，市场可能进入“验证阶段”：只要2,150美元在日线收盘守住，RSI接近中性与MACD看涨交叉可能支撑ETH向2,340–2,420推进；若出现单个日线收盘跌破2,150，走势更可能迅速回到旧震荡区，甚至向2,000与1.75k延伸。
长期上，若ETH能完成放量突破并稳定站上2,400，SuperTrend转绿这类指标可能会更像“趋势确认”；相反，如果量能继续无法恢复，绿色信号可能反复失效，导致震荡延长。因此整体更偏中性：存在看涨条件，但关键位与量能仍未兑现，方向尚需确认。