Ethereum Price Near $2.4K as $2.5K Resistance Holds
Ethereum price has recovered from the $1.5K-$1.6K area and broken out of a multi-month descending channel, rising to about $2.5K. ETH is now consolidating near $2.4K within a broader $2.35K-$2.6K range, but repeated rejection at $2.5K continues to limit gains.
A confirmed daily close above $2.5K could strengthen the Ethereum price outlook and open a path towards the psychological $3K level. Key support sits at $2.35K, followed by the $2.25K order block and the stronger $2.0K-$2.1K zone, where the 100-day and 200-day moving averages are rising. A deeper break below $1.9K would undermine the recovery structure.
The four-hour RSI has cooled from overbought conditions towards 30, signalling weak short-term momentum and scope for a technical rebound, but not confirming a lasting bottom. ETH exchange reserves have fallen from more than 21 million in the first half of 2025 to about 14.6 million. Lower exchange balances may reduce immediate selling supply, although they do not guarantee further gains.
For traders, holding $2.35K could support another test of $2.5K-$2.6K. A breakout may attract fresh spot and futures demand, while a failure to hold support could trigger profit-taking and declines towards $2.25K or $1.9K.
Neutral
The outlook is mixed rather than decisively bullish or bearish. Ethereum price action improved after ETH broke above its descending channel and reclaimed the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. Falling exchange reserves may also reduce immediately available selling supply.
However, ETH remains below the key $2.5K resistance after several rejections. The four-hour RSI near 30 points to weak momentum and possible short-term relief, but it is not proof of a durable bottom. In the short term, holding $2.35K could lead to another resistance test, while a break below it may expose $2.25K and $1.9K. A confirmed move above $2.5K would turn the outlook more bullish and could support a push towards $3K. Until that breakout or a clear support failure occurs, range-bound and volatile trading is the most likely scenario.