ETH MACD Bearish Crossover Signals 46–60% Downside Risk

Ethereum’s weekly MACD has formed a bearish crossover, echoing signals that in mid-2024 and early-2025 preceded 46%–60% price crashes. The MACD signal resurfaced in October 2025, intensifying downside risk. Key support stands at $4,000, with the next near $3,745; failure to hold these levels could accelerate selling pressure. On-chain metrics and expert commentary reinforce the likelihood of further declines unless critical supports hold. Traders should monitor weekly closes, set explicit stop-losses and consider hedging strategies. Some expect a brief pullback before a potential rebound toward $5,000.
Bearish
The weekly MACD bearish crossover historically preceded significant 46%–60% crashes in ETH, and its reappearance in October 2025 heightens the risk of renewed selling pressure. Price trading below the daily descending channel and failure to hold key supports at $4,000 and $3,745 suggest accelerated downside momentum. Traders are likely to respond with tighter stops, hedges or short positions, reinforcing a bearish outlook in both the short and medium term.