Euro stablecoins see 50% volume drop despite MiCA, traders prefer dollar liquidity

Euro stablecoins are losing traction. A Kaiko analysis cited by DL News shows monthly spot trading volume fell from about $200M to ~$100M through 2024—down 50%. Despite the EU’s MiCA framework (phased in since 2024) giving stablecoin issuers clearer rules on capital, redemptions, and consumer protections, euro stablecoins have not won market share. Traders continue to favor dollar-pegged stablecoins, which are generating over $1T in monthly trading. The report highlights practical disadvantages for Euro stablecoins: fewer exchange trading pairs, weaker arbitrage incentives, and use cases largely limited to Europe-focused flows. It also points to structural frictions, including fragmented EU banking integration, limited incremental benefits versus existing euro rails (e.g., TARGET2/TIPS), and blockchain infrastructure that has historically been built around dollar-denominated liquidity. Analysts note possible catalysts later: the European Banking Union plans official euro stablecoins, which could improve institutional confidence and interoperability. But until liquidity and infrastructure gaps close, Euro stablecoins face a self-reinforcing cycle of low adoption → lower liquidity → further reduced participation. Bottom line for traders: the Euro stablecoins narrative is bearish for near-term activity, even as regulatory developments move forward.
Bearish
该消息对“欧元稳定币(Euro stablecoins)”的近端交易情绪偏负面。核心数据是 2024 年欧元稳定币月度现货交易量约从 2 亿美元降至 1 亿美元(-50%),而美元稳定币仍维持在月度超 1 万亿美元的量级。即使 MiCA 带来监管清晰度,市场仍更看重流动性、交易对深度与网络效应,因此欧元稳定币的吸引力短期难以扭转。 对交易的直接影响通常会体现在:1)欧元稳定币资金更难聚集,相关交易对的深度与点差可能仍弱于美元同类;2)套利与做市空间不足会抑制交易量的自我修复;3)机构若已有欧元结算渠道,转换成本更高,短期配置意愿偏谨慎。 与历史上“监管利好但资金未立刻跟随”的情形类似:例如当某些地区先给出规则框架后,链上与交易所流动性仍需要时间沉淀,往往先出现“成交量走弱/相对表现落后”,等到发行方、基础设施和交易对生态完善后才可能改善。文中提到欧洲银行业联盟未来推出官方欧元稳定币与互操作技术,属于中长期潜在修复因素;但在当前数据指向的“动能不足”背景下,短期更可能压制风险偏好与相关资产的相对表现。