Gemini Users Forecast XRP to Close 2025 Between $1.50–$2.00
Gemini’s prediction market poll, running since December 12, shows a growing user consensus that XRP will finish 2025 narrowly range‑bound between $1.50 and $2.00. Confidence in the $1.50–$2.00 band rose from 63% to 73% during the poll, while optimism for higher closes weakened (the $2.00–$2.50 probability fell from 38% to 28%). Tails for $2.50–$3.00 and >$3.00 remain around 4% each; downside bets below $1.50 are small (6–7%) after recent market pullbacks. Gemini will settle the market using Kaiko’s GRR-KAIKO_XRPUSD_8UTC index at 09:00 GMT+1 on December 31, 2025, with payouts planned the following day. At publication XRP traded near $1.87, oscillating in the $1.80–$2.00 range since mid‑December. Traders cited recent pullbacks, limited short‑term breakout expectations, and hopes for post‑year institutional flows and regulatory clarity as key drivers. This poll is informational and not investment advice.
Neutral
The poll indicates market participants mostly expect stability rather than a decisive rally or collapse for XRP into year‑end, which points to a neutral near‑term price impact. High probability concentrated in the $1.50–$2.00 band suggests lower expected volatility and reduced likelihood of sharp directional moves before the settlement date; traders may reduce event-driven risk-taking and favor range strategies (scalp, mean-reversion, short gamma). Small downside probability and diminished odds for higher bands mean there is limited bullish conviction from retail participants, reducing upside momentum catalysts. For the medium to long term, mentions of possible institutional flows and regulatory clarity keep a conditional bullish narrative alive, but these are uncertain and contingent on external developments. Overall, expect muted price action near term (neutral), with potential directional moves reserved for clear regulatory or institutional announcements.