Gold, Bitcoin ETFs Soar as Dollar Falls to 1990s Reserve Lows

Global reserve realignment in Q1 2025 shows gold’s share rising to 24%—a 30-year high—while U.S. dollar dominance slips to 42%, its lowest since the mid-1990s. Central banks from Poland (+49 t) to China (+13 t), Turkey and India are boosting gold reserves to near 1960s levels, driven by financial sovereignty concerns, sanctions risk and geopolitical uncertainty. The U.S. dollar’s credibility is strained by 120% debt-to-GDP, nearly $1 trillion in annual interest payments, Fed policy uncertainty and new tariffs. Dedollarization accelerates via local currency settlement systems, yuan- and euro-denominated trade deals and BRICS currency initiatives. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs have attracted over $55 billion in net inflows since early 2024, led by BlackRock’s IBIT (AUM $80 billion), as volatility eases to 2.2 times gold. Regulatory clarity in the U.S. cements Bitcoin’s role as “digital gold.” Traders should note that rising gold reserves and Bitcoin ETF demand signal a bearish dollar trend and a bullish outlook for Bitcoin and alternative assets.
Bullish
This shift in global reserves—from the U.S. dollar to gold and Bitcoin ETFs—is bullish for Bitcoin and alternative assets. Historical trends show that growing ETF inflows trigger increased buying pressure and price appreciation, as seen after the 2021 spot Bitcoin ETF approvals. Lower volatility and clear U.S. regulation further encourage institutional adoption. In the short term, continued ETF inflows could boost Bitcoin prices; in the long term, sustained dedollarization and regulatory acceptance are likely to underpin steady demand and bullish market fundamentals.