HBAR short-term bullish tilt as RSI/MACD improve; watch $0.1035 breakout
HBAR (HBAR/USDT) shows mixed technicals on 18 Feb 2026: price around $0.099 with 24h volume ~$64M and short-term downtrend still dominant. Key indicators: RSI ~52 (neutral), MACD histogram positive (short-term bullish), and price trading above the EMA20 — suggesting a modest recovery. Supertrend remains bearish and medium/long EMAs (50, 200) slope down, so the broader trend is negative. Critical levels to watch: support at $0.0993 and $0.0975; resistances at $0.1035, $0.1089 and $0.12 (Supertrend). Scenarios: bullish breakout above $0.1035 with volume could target $0.1683; failure to hold $0.0993 could drop price toward $0.0864 and $0.0382. Correlation with Bitcoin is significant — BTC’s inability to hold or break key levels raises downside risk for HBAR. Recommendation for traders: remain technical-focused, wait for a confirmed breakout with volume (bullish) or clear break of $0.0993 (bearish); treat current move as a counter-trend rally until medium-term EMAs are reclaimed. This analysis is based on COINOTAG’s technical team (Devrim Cacal, James Mitchell) and is not financial advice.
Neutral
The technical picture is mixed: short-term signals (RSI ~52, positive MACD histogram, price above EMA20) point to a modest bullish bias, but higher-timeframe indicators (EMA50/200 downtrend, Supertrend bearish) and lack of strong volume keep the broader trend negative. The market is range-bound near $0.10, so a confirmed directional move requires either a volume-backed breakout above $0.1035 to become bullish or a close below $0.0993 to validate renewed selling. HBAR’s strong correlation with Bitcoin amplifies risk — if BTC fails key levels, altcoin pressure typically accelerates. Historically, similar setups (counter-trend rallies above short EMAs but below medium/long EMAs) often result in false breakouts unless accompanied by volume and BTC strength. Therefore the expected market impact is neutral: potential for short-term longs on a breakout, but material downside risk remains until higher-timeframe resistances are reclaimed.