HBAR Death Cross Signals Possible 15% Relief Rally, ETF Flows Cool

Hedera’s HBAR is approaching a weekly “death cross,” where the 50-week EMA could slip below the 200-week EMA—an event traders often read as bearish. However, the article argues that a HBAR death cross can be a lagging signal, and selling may be partly exhausted, allowing a short-term relief rally. Technicals highlighted: HBAR is stabilizing near $0.085–$0.09, with an upside target around the 20-week EMA near $0.106 (about 15–17% above current levels). ETF context: HBAR-linked spot ETF demand has slowed, with near-zero daily net inflows after earlier strong periods, suggesting less fresh buying pressure, though the absence of outflows helps limit immediate downside. Derivatives risk: CoinGlass data shows a liquidation “magnet zone” with dense long liquidations around $0.083–$0.085. If the HBAR death cross-driven bounce loses momentum, that liquidity pocket could accelerate a move lower toward the $0.08 area, increasing pullback risk.