Hong Kong Budget 2026 to be Delivered Feb 25; Treasury Sees Revenue Recovery

Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan announced the 2026 fiscal budget will be presented on February 25. Strong financial markets have raised government receipts — including stamp duties — allowing the operating account to return to surplus sooner than expected. However, increased public works spending means the capital account will continue to record a deficit for the year. Chan also said Hong Kong will develop stablecoins gradually; after initial steps are secured, the government will consider proposals for asset‑pegged stablecoins such as gold‑backed tokens, but cautioned a careful approach. The announcement signals fiscal improvement driven by booming markets, continued infrastructure spending, and a measured stance toward crypto stablecoin development.
Neutral
The news is broadly neutral for crypto markets. The budget timing and improved government revenue reflect macro fiscal strength that can support financial-market confidence, but there is no immediate policy change tightening or loosening crypto markets. The specific comment about developing stablecoins is constructive long-term — it signals regulatory openness to stablecoin innovation — yet Chan emphasized a cautious, phased approach and only indicated consideration of asset‑pegged (e.g., gold) stablecoins after initial steps. For traders this means: short-term impact is minimal (no direct liquidity or regulatory shock), so price action is unlikely to move strongly on this item alone. In the medium-to-long term, a clear regulatory pathway for stablecoins in Hong Kong could be bullish for traded stablecoin demand and on‑shore crypto services, similar to past cases where clearer regulation (for example: US SEC guidance or EU MiCA progress) reduced uncertainty and supported market participation. Conversely, emphasis on prudence and no immediate rollout limits immediate upside. Monitor follow-up statements and regulatory drafts — announcements that set licensing, custody, or reserve requirements could produce stronger market reactions.