Dem executions for Iran don rise; crypto prediction market for regime fall don drop

Iran don increase executions of political prisoners wey relate to the January protests, but dem still dey maintain control amid ongoing unrest. For the crypto prediction market “Will The Iranian Regime Fall,” the new info dey make traders put lower chance say the regime go collapse soon. For the market, the May 31 “YES” share now 4.3% (down from about 5%), while the June 30 “YES” share don rise to 8.5% (up from about 8%). Liquidity still active but selective: daily USDC traded na about $37,360 for May 31 and $35,587 for June 30. To move May 31 by 5 percentage points fit need roughly $7,057 buy/sell pressure, versus about $16,830 for June 30, showing say resistance thick pass further down the timeline. For traders, the main lesson be say the executions targeting protest participants show the regime ready to use lethal force to crush dissent. That one dey reduce near-term collapse odds, even if longer-dated “regime fall” expectations go drift higher. The May 31 payout (up to 23x) still need major internal upheaval within 37 days—now harder to justify after this execution wave. Wetin to watch next: intensified diplomatic pressure and any unexpected shifts inside the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps).