Miners Beat Bitcoin in 2026 as Terawulf Secures $12.8B AI/HPC Deals

Bitcoin mining stocks are sharply outperforming BTC in 2026, in what the article frames as “miners beat bitcoin” despite BTC hovering near $76,000–$78,000 (about -12% since Jan 1). In the top ten publicly listed miners, YTD gains range roughly 25%–73% while bitcoin is in the red. The driver is not traditional mining economics. The winners are repositioning as AI infrastructure and HPC data-center operators by locking contracted high-performance computing (HPC) revenue through long-term hyperscaler agreements. The story’s core point is that “miners beat bitcoin” because the market is pricing in contracted backlog, delivery timelines and counterparty quality, not just power capacity. Terawulf (WULF) leads with +73.58% YTD after securing $12.8B+ in contracted HPC revenue via long-term deals anchored by Google-backed Fluidstack and Core42, targeting sites scaling toward ~1 GW of available power. Hut 8 (HUT) follows with +67.75% YTD after a $7B, 15-year lease at River Bend with Anthropic and Fluidstack. Core Scientific (CORZ) is up (40%+ region) on roughly $10–12B contracted revenue tied to Coreweave partnerships spanning 590 MW, including a $1.2B expansion in Denton, Texas. Applied Digital (APLD) has signed multiple 15-year Coreweave leases for 400 MW, cited as generating ~$11B contracted revenue. Other names highlighted: IREN (projected HPC share ~71% of revenue by year-end), Cipher Digital (CIFR) shifting away from most BTC mining toward a ~$9.3B HPC backlog, and Riot (RIOT) +47.04% with AI-ready capacity underway. Bitdeer (BTDR) trails at +7.62% YTD, and Cleanspark (CLSK) is +25.88% but with initial AI deployments pushed into 2026–2027. Overall: “miners beat bitcoin” in 2026 as AI/HPC contracted revenue becomes the key valuation catalyst for leading miners.
Bullish
整体偏看多,但主要利好集中在“矿企的AI/HPC资产与合约”而非BTC现货本身。文章中,BTC自年初以来约下跌12%,而多数上市矿企YTD却实现25%–73%涨幅,说明资金在做从“挖矿Beta”向“AI/HPC合约Alpha/现金流预期”的再定价。 短期上,若市场继续确认“已签合约回报+交付节奏”,矿企股价可能保持强势,并可能带动与AI数据中心建设相关的情绪溢价;这类行情过去也常见于“叙事切换”阶段——当对手方(云厂商/AI公司)与资本开支兑现度更高时,估值会先于实际收入确认而上修。 长期上,若这些HPC合约按期落地,矿企的现金流稳定性与行业地位将改善,从而支撑更高估值。但也存在两点风险:其一,BTC价格仍可能影响融资成本与整体市场风险偏好;其二,合约执行与产能建设若出现延迟(文章也点到部分公司处于后段/合约兑现较弱),可能导致估值回撤。 因此,整体对市场稳定性而言,BTC未必立刻走强,但对矿企与AI基础设施板块的风险偏好偏正面,偏“看多”。