Pi Network price tests support as MACD momentum cools; $0.20 in focus
Pi Network price is trading around $0.1672 on Apr 15, with the daily MACD histogram printing 0.0000 for the first time since the Feb 11 all-time low at $0.1351. Traders are watching whether this “momentum exhaustion” marks the start of a base-building phase after the extended slide from $2.99 to $0.1351.
On the daily chart, the SMA ribbon remains fully bearish. Key resistances sit above price: SMA20 at $0.1715 (immediate trigger), SMA50 at $0.1852, SMA100 at $0.1807, and SMA200 at $0.2029. A daily close back above SMA20 ($0.1715) is the first recovery signal and could open the door to $0.20, while the broader upside target cited is $0.2804.
The technical picture is still cautious: MACD lines remain below zero (trend not yet flipped), so a shift of the histogram from 0 into positive territory on a daily close would be the cleaner confirmation for bulls.
On-chain and supply factors add pressure. Approximately 230M PI tokens are scheduled to unlock over the next 30 days, and analyst @kwalaintel flagged “major structural headwind” from daily unlocks. At the same time, a whale address accumulated ~350M PI near support, suggesting selective buying but not enough yet to negate unlock-driven selling.
Invalidation is clear: a daily close below $0.1351 would break the support thesis and expose a lower range with no prior reference.
Neutral
Pi Network价格的MACD柱状体回到0,说明下跌加速正在“暂停”,这是短线情绪层面的利好信号;但MACD线仍在0轴下方、SMA全线压制,反转尚未成立,因此整体更像是“观察期”。同时,未来30天约2.3亿PI解锁带来的持续供给压力,往往会抑制反弹的持续性,容易把行情限制在关键均线阻力区(0.1715/0.20)附近。
类似情形在熊市末段常见:当动能指标从极端负值回落到0附近时,价格可能先横盘/小幅反弹,但要想从短期反弹升级为趋势反转,通常需要更强的日线确认(例如MACD柱状体转正、有效站上关键均线)。长期来看,如果解锁压力在价格成功站稳0.20并形成更高的日线结构后仍可被消化,则路线图推进可能为市场情绪提供二次支撑;反之,若跌破0.1351,动能“暂停”会快速转为重新加速下行。