Polymarket Seeks $12–15B Valuation After $8B Election Bets
Polymarket is in discussions to raise capital at a $12–$15 billion valuation, a tenfold increase from its $1 billion June valuation after a $200 million round led by Founders Fund. The prediction-market leader handled over $8 billion in US election bets with 90% reported accuracy. Intercontinental Exchange also agreed to invest up to $2 billion at an $8 billion valuation, while rival Kalshi seeks over $10 billion following its $300 million round at a $5 billion valuation. Polymarket has expanded through a clearinghouse partnership with DraftKings, multiyear NHL licensing deals—making it the first professional sports league to permit its trademarks for non-bookmaker markets—and integration with OpenAI’s World App. Weekly trading volume in prediction markets topped $2 billion in mid-October, with Polymarket capturing a 52.3% share. These developments underscore growing investor confidence in Polymarket valuation and market liquidity in event-prediction platforms, offering bullish prospects for traders monitoring funding trends and platform adoption.
Bullish
The substantial jump in Polymarket valuation and strong institutional backing signal robust growth in prediction markets. Short term, increased investor funding and partnerships (DraftKings, ICE, NHL) boost liquidity and trading volumes, likely driving platform activity higher. Long term, sustained adoption—evidenced by $8 billion in election bets and 90% accuracy—positions Polymarket for further market share gains. The competitive landscape, with Kalshi also reaching high valuations, underlines sector-wide bullish momentum, suggesting favorable conditions for traders focused on prediction-market opportunities.