US forces go enter Iran by April 30 dey 86% for prediction markets

Tension for Middle East dey push prediction markets up for “US forces entering Iran” by April 30. Di contract “US forces enter Iran (April 30)” don reach 86% YES, from 62% just 24 hours before, as talk about possible ground invasion don strong pass. Di longer contract “US forces enter Iran (December 31)” also climb to 90.5% YES, wey mean traders dey expect say di conflict go longer and more kinetic. Another market, “Iranian regime falling (June 30)”, still low at 14% YES (vs 12% yesterday). Trading dey active on-chain for dis event: di April 30 contract show about $4.2M USDC volume and sharp ~4-point jump around 2:14 PM, showing stronger conviction. With April 30 YES share near 86¢, di contract payoff mean small return if e resolve, but any diplomatic shift fit clear positions quick. For crypto traders, dis mainly be geopolitical risk-sentiment input: more escalation fit raise volatility across risk assets, while de-escalation fit pressure hedges and unwind long-vol exposure.