Ripple CEO Predicts Crypto Market Structure Bill Will Pass Despite Coinbase

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse says a key U.S. crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, will ultimately pass into law, despite public opposition from Coinbase. The Senate compromise version includes a contentious ban on paying interest on stablecoin balances. Garlinghouse suggested Ripple is not a “leading force” in this fight, positioning the firm more as an observer, while arguing legislative momentum is building from industry and regulator “fatigue” after nearly a decade of patchwork rules. Coinbase strongly opposes the stablecoin interest ban, saying it could harm consumers and stifle innovation and directly challenges its interest-bearing stablecoin products. Garlinghouse cited political factors in Washington: multiple committee hearings over the past three years, bipartisan interest in passing before the next election cycle, and pressure from faster-moving regulators abroad (EU/UK) to keep the U.S. competitive. Next steps are expected to include committee markups and amendments, with the stablecoin provision remaining the most contentious point. Some lawmakers have floated alternatives such as a licensed framework for interest-bearing stablecoin products instead of an outright ban. Market reaction was reportedly muted, suggesting traders are waiting for further legislative detail. The outcome will shape U.S. rules for exchanges, custody, and token classification.
Neutral
偏中性。尽管Ripple CEO公开“加密市场结构法案将通过”的表态偏多心理,但具体利好要看稳定币计息禁令是否被保留或改成更温和的许可框架。类似的监管博弈(如美国多轮围绕稳定币、证券/商品属性与交易所监管的立法讨论)往往在条款尚未定稿前,对市场的价格拉动有限,更多体现在情绪与预期的阶段性波动。 短期(未来数周到委员会审议期):Coinbase的公开反对会提高不确定性,可能抑制风险偏好并让交易者采取观望,尤其是围绕稳定币收益与相关业务模式的再定价。 中长期(若法案推进并明确稳定币规则):一旦出现更清晰、可预期的合规路径,通常利于行业估值中枢上移(例如交易所/托管/合规服务的业务可见性提升),从而对市场形成结构性支撑。但在最终投票前,条款仍可能反复,导致“政策预期—回撤—再定价”的波动特征。