Ripple Escrow Set to Deplete by 2035 at 300M XRP/Month
Ripple escrow system, launched in 2017, locked over 54 billion XRP to regulate XRP circulation. Under the plan, Ripple escrow releases 1 billion XRP each month. Typically, 700 million XRP is re-locked, leaving 300 million XRP available for token supply. As of August 2025, about 35.6 billion XRP remain in escrow, valued at $106.8 billion.
Between January and August 2025, monthly net usage averaged 300 million XRP. Analysis from “XRP Liquidity” suggests that if this pattern continues, the escrow will deplete in 9 years and 8 months—around 2035. If monthly usage rises to 400 million XRP, depletion could occur in about 7.5 years (2033). Halting all re-locks would exhaust reserves in just three years. These depletion projections highlight how changes in release policies can affect long-term supply.
Traders should monitor monthly escrow activity closely. Stable releases of 300 million XRP per month support gradual increases in circulating supply. Any adjustment in re-lock ratios or release volume could trigger price volatility. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for anticipating supply-driven market movements.
Neutral
Ripple escrow’s predictable release schedule supports gradual XRP circulation growth. Unlike sudden token unlocks that can flood the market, the controlled 300 million XRP net monthly release mitigates abrupt supply shocks. Historical adjustments in lock-up policies—such as those for EOS and Tron—triggered notable volatility when release patterns changed. Here, consistent re-locking demonstrates Ripple’s commitment to supply management, suggesting a neutral market impact. Short-term, traders may see modest price pressure from incremental supply increases. Long-term, clarity on escrow depletion timelines (around 2035 at the current pace) reduces uncertainty and stabilizes price expectations. However, any shift—like higher monthly usage or halting re-locks—could accelerate depletion, prompting bullish or bearish reactions. Overall, the current pattern appears fully priced in, warranting a neutral stance.