Ripple euro stablecoin teaser boosts SHIB whale bets; Cowen warns BTC vs gold could drop 30%
Ripple CTO Emeritus David Schwartz teased a possible Ripple euro stablecoin (RLEUR) by posting an “Eurion constellation” image tied to euro banknotes. The report links the hint to Ripple obtaining an Electronic Money Institution (EMI) license in Luxembourg, enabling payments across EU member states, and also securing UK FCA licenses.
For trading flow, Shiba Inu (SHIB) is highlighted as a top bullish pick among Binance “top traders” after the FOMC. Despite hawkish signals and a softer Dow Jones, SHIB whale sentiment improved: Binance’s Top Trader Long/Short ratio rose to 1.11 (highest in ~3 weeks). Buy-side dominance increased, with 52.53% of top-trader position volume on buys and 57.75% by accounts, alongside accumulation near the $0.0000057 support area.
On the macro side, analyst Benjamin Cowen warned that Bitcoin (BTC) could underperform gold and fall another ~30% in the BTC/gold ratio. BTC is trading below $70,000 in the article, and Cowen frames the BTC/gold chart as a “risk appetite” barometer. He expects potential stabilization and a more attractive bottom in the second half of 2026, assuming the pair finds support.
Overall, the piece suggests a market shift from early-cycle euphoria to more institution-led accumulation after the latest Federal Reserve meeting, with next moves likely driven by broader macro stability.
Bullish
整体偏多判断主要来自两点交易面信号:第一,Ripple“欧元稳定币”RLEUR 的暗示叠加其已拿到的卢森堡 EMI 牌照与英国 FCA 牌照,强化了市场对 XRP 生态在欧洲合规扩张的叙事。这类合规进展通常更利于中期情绪与资金预期,尤其当市场从“消息驱动”逐步转向“机构逐步加码”时。
第二,SHIB 在币安顶级交易员维度出现明显的多头转强。Long/Short 比率升到 1.11、买方仓位与账户占比上升,且价格在约 $0.0000057 附近获得支撑并出现积累行为——这些与历史上“风险偏好回升+短线资金回流”的模式相近,往往会带来短期上行动能。
但需要注意:文章里对 BTC 的风险提示(BTC/gold 可能再跌 30%)属于宏观相对强弱的偏空因素,可能压制大盘资金的整体风险偏好。因此若你交易的是 BTC/广谱资产,短期波动仍可能偏大。
综合来看,对 SHIB/XRP 相关叙事的正面驱动更直接,而 BTC 的宏观压力更多影响“板块轮动节奏”。短期可能看到 meme 与生态消息带来的脉冲行情;长期取决于宏观利率路径与 BTC 对黄金的相对修复进度。