Ripple CEO Predicts XRP to Seize 14% of SWIFT in 5 Years

At the XRP APEX 2025 event in Singapore, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse projected that XRP will capture 14% of SWIFT’s liquidity-based transactions within the next five years. He highlighted the distinction between SWIFT’s messaging network and the actual liquidity controlled by banks. Garlinghouse estimated that a 14% share of SWIFT’s global cross-border settlement volume would amount to approximately $21 trillion annually. This projection underscores XRP’s potential role as a high-speed liquidity solution in international payments. The CEO explained that the impact on XRP’s market value depends on token velocity. If XRP liquidity circulates daily, only about $57.5 billion in XRP would be needed to support $21 trillion in transactions—implying a price under $1. With slower turnover (once every three to seven days), required liquidity could rise to $210–$420 billion, pushing XRP’s price to $3.50–$7. Biweekly velocity might lift XRP toward $14 per token. While a theoretical price above $1,000 per XRP would demand a drastic supply reduction or far greater liquidity flows, Garlinghouse’s forecast highlights growing demand for digital asset liquidity. His 14% target for XRP adoption in SWIFT transactions suggests a bullish outlook for cross-border payments and market valuation trends.
Bullish
Garlinghouse’s projection that XRP could secure 14% of SWIFT’s liquidity highlights strong institutional demand for digital-asset rails in cross-border payments. Historically, major partnership announcements or predictions from leading executives (such as PayPal’s early crypto support) have triggered bullish momentum. In the short term, the forecast may drive positive sentiment and speculative buying as traders anticipate adoption gains. Over the long term, actual XRP utilization and transaction velocity will be critical. If volume materializes as projected, liquidity-driven demand could underpin sustained price appreciation. However, execution risks and broader market cycles may moderate growth. Overall, the news supports a bullish outlook by reinforcing XRP’s role in global settlement infrastructure.