September’s $1B Crypto Token Unlocks Could Drive Volatility
September’s crypto token unlocks total over $1 billion, raising the risk of short-term sell-pressure. Late-August schedules release about 320 million tokens, and September adds 530 million more. Daily unlocks could peak at 350 million tokens around mid-month, generating significant liquidity spikes.
High-percentage token unlocks include TRUMP’s 6.83% supply ($178.7 million) and SVL’s large release. In contrast, Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) face minimal one-month unlock rates of 0.07% and 0.36%, respectively. This suggests limited short-term supply risk for blue-chip coins despite high nominal values.
As crypto token unlocks approach, traders should track on-chain data for exchange inflows and vested token flows. Upcoming FOMC meetings may amplify volatility. Use tools like DeFiLlama and Tokenomist to set risk rules around peak unlock days. Monitoring exchange deposits will signal potential dumping and help manage market exposure.
Bearish
The massive schedule of crypto token unlocks totaling over $1 billion in a 30-day window is likely to weigh on prices. High-percentage releases from TRUMP (6.83%) and SVL signal substantial sell-pressure around mid-September, triggering liquidity spikes and short-term volatility. Blue-chip tokens like BTC and SOL have minimal unlock rates, offering relative stability. However, the clustering of unlock events in a tight timeframe and the looming FOMC meeting may amplify risk-off sentiment. Traders anticipating these dynamics should prepare for potential price dips. Over the longer term, gradual distribution and absorption of unlocked tokens could reduce volatility, but near-term market pressure remains bearish.