Solana Falls Toward $50 as Price Weakens; Ecosystem Expands with New USDC Liquidity and RWA Pools

Solana’s native token SOL has plunged over 38% in the past month, hitting a two-year low of $67 and trading beneath critical support around $80. Technical patterns (head-and-shoulders on monthly/biweekly charts) and low volumes raise the risk of a further drop toward $50 or even $45 if key resistances hold. Short-term sellers have realized losses while long-term holders accumulated about 1.97 million SOL. On-chain liquidity received a notable boost when Circle minted $250 million USDC on Solana on Feb. 9, improving DeFi trading and lending capacity. Infrastructure gains include GetBlock ranking as the fastest Solana RPC provider in Asia and a new liquidity pool for tokenized real-world assets (RWA) launched by Uniform Labs and Metalayer Ventures; Solana’s RWA ecosystem is now reported at $1 billion, the third largest after Ethereum. Institutional views remain mixed: some executives argue Ethereum’s dominance still favors it for large participants, while Solana leadership proposes revised tokenomics with larger initial allocations and one-year lockups to promote long-term alignment. Short-term analysts warn SOL could test $50–$60 in 4–6 weeks if $80 fails to hold; a sustained hold above $72 combined with USDC-driven liquidity may push recovery toward $95–$102. Suggested trader strategies include accumulation in the $60–$67 band and profit-taking above $95, but risks of a deeper slide to $30 persist in a prolonged bear market.
Bearish
Price action and technical indicators point to bearish near-term outcomes. SOL has lost key support levels, formed head-and-shoulders patterns on higher timeframe charts, and is trading in a descending channel with weak volumes—classic signs of downside continuation. The minting of $250m USDC and infrastructure gains are constructive for on-chain liquidity and long-term ecosystem health, but they have not yet translated into sustained price recovery. Institutional preference for Ethereum and Solana’s proposed tokenomics changes are uncertain catalysts that may take months to affect market positioning. Historically, similar technical breakdowns (e.g., other altcoin head-and-shoulders breaches) have led to rapid tests of lower targets as risk-off sentiment accelerates. Therefore, expect increased volatility and downside pressure in the short term (possible $50–$60 test), with a neutral-to-slightly-bullish longer-term outlook only if network growth, RWA liquidity maturation, and tokenomics reforms materially improve demand and reduce sell pressure.